Chloe's Banker

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 66

Delaware Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y

#14

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼2

Strength77%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.6

Today:

Class gap: +1.9

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2025-10-11	Delaware Park	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2025-07-26	Delaware Park	?	8th	5th	+3	5.0
2024-11-22	Charles Town	?	5th	2nd	+3	8.0
2024-10-16	Delaware Park	?	9th	6th	+3	4.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%

▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price

Trend▲

Strength49%

Delivery trend +9.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
16/10/2024	9th	40/1	0%	0%	0.00
22/11/2024	5th	40/1	0%	43%	+0.43
26/07/2025	8th	40/1	0%	13%	+0.13
11/10/2025	5th	33/1	0%	43%	+0.43