12
Golden Ellie
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 67
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 29/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |