14
Meadowlark Drive
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 60
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength80%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: +1.9
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-07-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-02 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
Delivery trend -10.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.28 |