1

Morganite Rose

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 66

Delaware Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y

#12

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Colonial Downs 27/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y 11927/08C9C9 @ Colonial Downs 06/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 67 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 67 par6/09C9OR 67projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Colonial Downs?7th7th0
2026-08-27Colonial Downs?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/086/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength51%

Delivery trend +36.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/08/20267th10/147%25%-0.22
06/09/20267th33/10%14%+0.14