6
Queen Khaleesi
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 72
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-03 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-07-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-06-26 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 03/05/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 05/06/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 26/06/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 30/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 03/09/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 27/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 17/10/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |