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3

Sister T

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 68

Delaware Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength35%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Delaware Park 11/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS11/06C6C7 @ Delaware Park 13/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 67 · 7f110y Sft 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 67 par13/08C7OR 67projClass-projected finish: 9th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Delaware Park?7th5th+2
2026-06-11Delaware Park?10th7th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0613/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength76%

Delivery trend +14.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/06/202610th50/10%0%0.00
13/08/20267th40/10%14%+0.14