
Dats My Pharaoh
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 86
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 09/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 88% | -0.05 |
| 05/02/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 22/02/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 15/03/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 11/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 06/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 03/09/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |