8

Latin Spice

8yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 72

Delaware Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 27/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 69 · 7f Fas 122 · below its mark27/02/2026 · OR 69 par27/02C8OR 69C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 25/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 64 · 6f110y Fas 122 · below its mark25/03/2026 · OR 64 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 04/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 64 · 1m39y 123 · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 64 par4/04C8OR 64C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 26/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 67 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 67 parC8 @ Delaware Park 04/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 70 · 6f 122 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 70 par4/06C8OR 70C8 @ Monmouth Park 20/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 67 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 67 parC8 @ Penn National 10/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 67 · 5f110y Slo 125 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 67 par10/07C8OR 67C8 @ Delaware Park 30/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 67 · 6f 122 · below its mark30/07/2026 · OR 67 parC8 @ Delaware Park 05/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 69 · 1m70y 121 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 69 par5/09C8OR 69projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Delaware Park?4th4th0
2026-07-30Delaware Park?8th8th0
2026-07-10Penn National?4th4th0
2026-06-20Monmouth Park?6th6th0
2026-06-04Delaware Park?5th5th0
2026-04-26Tampa Bay Downs?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0226/0410/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength78%

Delivery trend +4.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/02/202612th50/10%0%0.00
25/03/202611th50/10%9%+0.09
04/04/202610th40/10%0%0.00
26/04/20266th40/10%29%+0.29
04/06/20265th20/10%33%+0.33
20/06/20266th16/116%17%+0.01
10/07/20264th16/116%40%+0.24
30/07/20268th40/10%36%+0.36
05/09/20264th20/10%40%+0.40