1
Silent Roar
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 73
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
Delivery trend -7.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 19/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |