Styner

8yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 86

Delaware Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

93%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength36%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.2

Today:

Class gap: +0.3

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-22	Delaware Park	?	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-08-06	Delaware Park	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-07-10	Delaware Park	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-06-18	Delaware Park	?	4th	3rd	+1	7.2
2026-05-30	Delaware Park	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-05-23	Delaware Park	?	3rd	2nd	+1	8.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength35%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
13/12/2025	1st	6/1	68%	100%	+0.32
20/03/2026	2nd	3/1	84%	80%	-0.04
17/04/2026	5th	5/2	87%	0%	-0.87
23/05/2026	3rd	5/1	74%	67%	-0.07
30/05/2026	2nd	11/4	86%	88%	+0.02
18/06/2026	4th	5/2	87%	40%	-0.47
10/07/2026	5th	13/8	91%	43%	-0.49
06/08/2026	4th	7/1	63%	63%	-0.01
22/08/2026	6th	7/2	82%	38%	-0.44