Vance Scholars
7yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 87
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-05-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2024-10-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/2024 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 18/08/2024 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 25% | -0.66 |
| 13/09/2024 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 12/10/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 03/05/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/07/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |