D'oro Cavallo

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 80

Delaware Park · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

76%

Place Prob

49%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark

Move▼2

Strength76%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.2

Today:

Class gap: +2.3

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-07	Colonial Downs	?	5th	2nd	+3	8.0
2026-08-14	Delaware Park	?	3rd	1st	+2	9.4
2026-07-01	Delaware Park	?	7th	4th	+3	6.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%

▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price

Trend▬

Strength92%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
01/07/2026	7th	16/1	16%	0%	-0.16
14/08/2026	3rd	16/1	16%	71%	+0.56
07/09/2026	5th	13/2	66%	50%	-0.16