6

Seawise
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 83
Delaware Park · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-12-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-03-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 11/10/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 28/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 13/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |