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4

Happy Offering

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 92

Delaware Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 70y

#6

Rank

Odds

9/5

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Meadowlands 05/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 73 · 1m 120 · beat its mark05/10/2025 · OR 73 par5/10C6OR 73C9 @ Penn National 13/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 72 · 1m110y 124 · beat its mark13/12/2025 · OR 72 parC5 @ Monmouth Park 09/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 76 · 5f110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 76 par9/05C5OR 76C8 @ Monmouth Park 30/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 80 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 80 parC6 @ Monmouth Park 13/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 80 · 1m70y Fas 121 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 80 par13/06C6OR 80C0 @ Monmouth Park 12/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m Fm 119C8 @ Monmouth Park 31/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 81 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 81 par31/07C8OR 81C0 @ Monmouth Park 23/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m110y Gd 121C6 @ Monmouth Park 05/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 90 · 1m70y 125 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 90 par5/09C6OR 90projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Monmouth Park?2nd2nd0
2026-08-23Monmouth Park?1st1st0
2026-07-31Monmouth Park?1st3rd−2
2026-07-12Monmouth Park?6th6th0
2026-06-13Monmouth Park?1st1st0
2026-05-30Monmouth Park?2nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/1030/0531/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength80%

Delivery trend -4.6% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/10/20252nd9/276%88%+0.11
13/12/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
09/05/20262nd40/10%86%+0.86
30/05/20262nd5/493%86%-0.08
13/06/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
12/07/20266th12/137%38%+0.01
31/07/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
23/08/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
05/09/20262nd9/488%75%-0.13