Omaha Omaha
4yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 76
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 30/11/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 21/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 17/01/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 12/02/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 12/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 04/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 06/09/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |