3
Secret Zipper
5yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 97
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-04-04 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2024 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 31/01/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 21/02/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 04/04/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 14/09/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 22/11/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |