Very Volatile
3yo Gelding · 8-5 · OR 95
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-25 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 10th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +16.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 6th | 8/11 | 96% | 17% | -0.80 |
| 29/11/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 27/12/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 21/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |