Song To Remember

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 72

Delaware Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼1

Strength47%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.7

Today:

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 5

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-02	Penn National	?	2nd	1st	+1	9.2
2026-08-19	Penn National	?	2nd	1st	+1	9.2
2026-07-23	Penn National	?	3rd	2nd	+1	8.2
2026-06-25	Penn National	?	7th	6th	+1	4.2
2026-06-17	Penn National	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-05-22	Penn National	?	2nd	1st	+1	9.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength16%

Delivery trend -5.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
26/03/2026	1st	4/5	96%	100%	+0.04
09/04/2026	5th	16/1	16%	0%	-0.16
08/05/2026	3rd	16/1	16%	67%	+0.51
22/05/2026	2nd	13/8	91%	67%	-0.25
17/06/2026	5th	10/3	82%	50%	-0.32
25/06/2026	7th	10/1	47%	14%	-0.33
23/07/2026	3rd	4/1	79%	33%	-0.46
19/08/2026	2nd	2/1	89%	75%	-0.14
02/09/2026	2nd	6/4	92%	67%	-0.25