6

Sweet Summer Love

5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 68

Delaware Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength46%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Laurel Park 07/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 61 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark07/12/2025 · OR 61 par7/12C8OR 61C7 @ Delaware Park 13/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 63 · 5f110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 63 parC8 @ Delaware Park 28/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 60 · 5f110y Gd 121 · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 60 par28/05C8OR 60C8 @ Delaware Park 10/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 66 · 6f 121 · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 66 parC7 @ Delaware Park 24/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 58 · 5f Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/06/2026 · OR 58 par24/06C7OR 58C8 @ Delaware Park 22/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 69 · 5f110y Slo 121 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 69 parC8 @ Delaware Park 01/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 64 · 6f 121 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 64 par1/08C8OR 64C7 @ Delaware Park 14/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 65 · 5f Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 65 parC8 @ Delaware Park 28/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 72 · 6f 121 · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 72 par28/08C8OR 72projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Delaware Park?1st1st0
2026-08-14Delaware Park?7th6th+1
2026-08-01Delaware Park?4th4th0
2026-07-22Delaware Park?2nd2nd0
2026-06-24Delaware Park?5th4th+1
2026-06-10Delaware Park?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1210/061/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength43%

Delivery trend -3.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/12/20255th20/10%43%+0.43
13/05/20264th25/10%40%+0.40
28/05/20267th5/174%33%-0.40
10/06/20264th10/147%57%+0.10
24/06/20265th33/10%43%+0.43
22/07/20262nd9/276%88%+0.11
01/08/20264th9/153%57%+0.05
14/08/20267th14/126%14%-0.12
28/08/20261st2/189%100%+0.11