14

Bluebell Breeze

4yo Filly · 10-9

Downpatrick · T-Met Maiden Hurdle · 2m 1f 165y

#12

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Produced her best effort to date when fourth of 12 in bumper at Tramore (17f, good) last month. Worth a second look on hurdles bow.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Tramore 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m50y Goo 15930/05C?C0 @ Cork 10/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 2m190y Goo 15910/07C?C0 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR - · 2m175y Goo 1621/08C?C0 @ Tramore 16/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 2m140y Goo 16216/08C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Tramore?4th4th0
2026-08-01Galway?7th7th0
2026-07-10Cork?13th13th0
2026-05-30Tramore?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0510/071/0816/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/05/20264th16/116%63%+0.47
10/07/202613th7/163%20%-0.43
01/08/20267th100/10%65%+0.65
16/08/20264th14/126%73%+0.46