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11

Katie Can't Count

6yo Mare · 10-11

Downpatrick · T-Met Maiden Hurdle · 2m 1f 165y

#10

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Not seen to best effect when fourth only start in bumpers at Downpatrick but easy to back and still plenty to do when falling 2 out on hurdles bow at Kilbeggan (19f) 4 weeks ago. In top hands, though, and this promises to reveal more.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Downpatrick 13/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 2m2f185y Gd 16113/06C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Kilbeggan?+1
2026-06-13Downpatrick?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength29%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20264th11/1094%57%-0.37