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12

Money Shuffler

6yo Mare · 10-11

Downpatrick · T-Met Maiden Hurdle · 2m 1f 165y

#13

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★ Timeform

Commentary

Little impact in various codes. Can only be watched back hurdling.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength56%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 08/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 2m125y Goo 1588/06C?C0 @ Wexford 04/07/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 2m195y Goo 161C8 @ Dundalk 24/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 13424/10C8C8 @ Dundalk 14/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 133C8 @ Dundalk 26/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f Std 13426/11C8C8 @ Dundalk 10/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f Std 128 · HIGHER CLASSC8 @ Punchestown 13/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 2m Goo 16113/05C8BHA50 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR 50 · 1m1f100y GF 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 50 parBHA45 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 45 · 1m4f194y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 45 par4/0945OR 45projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Down RoyalBHA459th5th+4
2026-08-12Gowran ParkBHA5014th10th+3
2026-05-13Punchestown?12th12th0
2025-12-10Dundalk?11th10th+1
2025-11-26Dundalk?8th8th0
2025-11-14Dundalk?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0614/1113/054/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 10-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength20%

Delivery trend -1.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/06/20257th100/10%50%+0.50
04/07/202512th50/10%15%+0.15
24/10/202511th300/10%23%+0.23
14/11/20256th400/10%44%+0.44
26/11/20258th200/10%46%+0.46
10/12/202511th150/10%17%+0.17
13/05/202612th200/10%27%+0.27
12/08/202614th80/10%7%+0.07
04/09/20269th100/10%33%+0.33