So Golden
5yo Mare · 11-5
Downpatrick · T-Met Maiden Hurdle · 2m 1f 165y
#2
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Gowran Park | BHA73 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-10-12 | Naas | BHA74 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-09-11 | Clonmel | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Tramore | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-21 | Ballinrobe | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -21.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 16/08/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 11/09/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 12/10/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 44% | -0.35 |
| 20/10/2025 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 36% | -0.20 |