16
Tommy Go Maith
5yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 77
Downpatrick · T-Met Maiden Hurdle · 2m 1f 165y
#14
Rank
Odds
150/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 12.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Downpatrick | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Ballinrobe | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-06 | Sligo | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-09 | Gowran Park | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Navan | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength19%
Delivery trend +6.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/2026 | 16th | 250/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 31/08/2026 | 8th | 250/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |