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Chantilly Wings

5yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 103

Downpatrick · Randox Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 165y

#7

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair maiden hurdler who has finished in the frame on all 3 starts this season, shaping as if still in form but stretched by longer trip when 12¼ lengths fourth of 14 to Thesilverbridle in extended 2½m maiden at Bellewstown on latest. His opening mark demands improvement, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Naas 05/01/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 2m Hvy 1645/01C?C0 @ Tipperary 03/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 2m Goo 164C8 @ Kilbeggan 25/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 2m2f200y Goo 15325/07C8C8 @ Roscommon 05/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m7f110y Goo 1554 @ Perth 16/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 105 · 2m47y Gd 155 · below its mark16/08/2025 · OR 105 par16/084OR 105C8 @ Kilbeggan 05/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 103 · 2m3f100y Goo 156 · below its mark05/09/2025 · OR 103 parC8 @ Kilbeggan 10/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 100 · 2m2f160y Goo 158 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 100 par10/07C8OR 100C8 @ Roscommon 04/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 104 · 1m7f110y Yie 158 · below its mark04/08/2026 · OR 104 parC8 @ Bellewstown 26/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 104 · 2m4f110y Goo 158 · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 104 par26/08C8OR 104projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Bellewstown?4th4th0
2026-08-04Roscommon?3rd3rd0
2026-07-10Kilbeggan?2nd2nd0
2025-09-05Kilbeggan?5th5th0
2025-08-16Perth44th4th0
2025-08-05Roscommon?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/015/0810/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength56%

Delivery trend -2.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/01/20255th4/179%50%-0.29
03/07/20255th11/142%73%+0.31
25/07/20254th25/10%77%+0.77
05/08/20253rd13/266%86%+0.20
16/08/20254th15/890%75%-0.15
05/09/20255th10/382%71%-0.11
10/07/20262nd11/271%86%+0.15
04/08/20263rd7/282%83%+0.02
26/08/20264th11/486%77%-0.09