8
Lilac Lady
6yo Mare · 11-4 · OR 102
Downpatrick · Randox Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 165y
#10
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: BHA42
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Sligo | BHA103 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | BHA96 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Sligo | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Sligo | BHA91 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-06 | Sligo | BHA42 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 10/06/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 14/07/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 64% | +0.00 |
| 06/08/2025 | 11th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 24/10/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 93% | +0.27 |
| 09/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 12/07/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 06/08/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 14% | -0.59 |