2
Portnacoo
8yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 106
Downpatrick · Randox Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 165y
#3
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C10.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-18 | Punchestown | BHA111 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Gowran Park | BHA114 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-27 | Taunton | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-23 | Clonmel | BHA117 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-03 | Gowran Park | BHA119 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-15 | Downpatrick | BHA120 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2024 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 11/10/2024 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 15/12/2024 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 01/01/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 84% | +0.05 |
| 17/02/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 15/06/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 03/10/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 22/01/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 18/02/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |