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11

Viceregent

9yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 98

Downpatrick · Randox Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 165y

#11

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual Flat winner who was placed several times in early days over hurdles but has been lightly raced and made little in this sphere in recent times, including on return for new yard last month.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA65 @ Navan 08/04/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 65 · 1m6f Gd 135 · below its mark08/04/2025 · OR 65 par8/0465OR 65C7 @ Limerick 11/06/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 63 · 1m3f110y Gd 134 · below its mark11/06/2025 · OR 63 parBHA58 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 58 · 1m4f184y Goo 140 · beat its mark21/07/2025 · OR 58 par21/0758OR 58BHA56 @ Sligo 06/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 56 · 1m5f103y Goo 139 · beat its mark06/08/2025 · OR 56 parBHA51 @ Down Royal 05/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 51 · 1m4f194y Gd 136 · beat its mark05/09/2025 · OR 51 par5/0951OR 51BHA49 @ Bellewstown 02/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 49 · 1m4f77y Sft 134 · beat its mark02/10/2025 · OR 49 parBHA48 @ Roscommon 13/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 48 · 1m4f46y Sft 130 · beat its mark13/10/2025 · OR 48 par13/1048OR 48BHA47 @ Navan 22/10/2025 · Pos 17th of 23 · OR 47 · 1m6f Sft 129 · beat its mark22/10/2025 · OR 47 parBHA99 @ Down Royal 28/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 99 · 2m1f87y Goo 155 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 99 par28/0899OR 99projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Down RoyalBHA9910th10th0
2025-10-22NavanBHA4717th17th0
2025-10-13RoscommonBHA483rd3rd0
2025-10-02BellewstownBHA496th6th0
2025-09-05Down RoyalBHA5110th10th0
2025-08-06SligoBHA569th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/046/0813/1028/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength59%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/04/202511th80/10%0%0.00
11/06/202512th100/10%0%0.00
21/07/20254th80/10%77%+0.77
06/08/20259th40/10%33%+0.33
05/09/202510th50/10%31%+0.31
02/10/20256th25/10%58%+0.58
13/10/20253rd33/10%87%+0.87
22/10/202517th22/10%27%+0.27
28/08/202610th80/10%31%+0.31