12
Doyen Og
7yo Mare · 10-0 · OR 72
Downpatrick · MB McGrady And Co Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 1f 165y
#13
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.1)
Highest class: BHA72
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Tramore | BHA72 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cork | BHA73 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | BHA75 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Listowel | BHA78 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-08 | Gowran Park | BHA80 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Sligo | BHA81 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2025 | 10th | 250/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 10/05/2025 | 9th | 300/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 27/08/2025 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 06/10/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 24/10/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 08/11/2025 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 28% | +0.28 |
| 03/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 10/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 68% | +0.42 |
| 16/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 54% | +0.01 |