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10

Greenroad Girl

4yo Filly · 10-3 · OR 77

Downpatrick · MB McGrady And Co Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 1f 165y

#9

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★ Timeform

Commentary

Big prices and no promise in mares maiden hurdles.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Downpatrick 09/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 2m1f165y Gd 1509/08C8C8 @ Downpatrick 31/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 2m1f165y Gd 15631/08C8projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Downpatrick?6th6th0
2026-08-09Downpatrick?6th6th0
2026-07-17Killarney?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength58%

Delivery trend +20.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20266th500/10%17%+0.17
31/08/20266th300/10%38%+0.38