7
Paymelater
7yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 87
Downpatrick · MB McGrady And Co Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 1f 165y
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Downpatrick | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Bellewstown | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Downpatrick | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Punchestown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Down Royal | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Tramore | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 8-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2025 | 3rd | 80/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 31/07/2025 | 14th | 80/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 27/08/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 09/10/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |
| 01/11/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 23/11/2025 | 6th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 04/07/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |