4
Whispering Hopes
6yo Mare · 11-7 · OR 93
Downpatrick · MB McGrady And Co Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 1f 165y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
16%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Down Royal | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Down Royal | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-20 | Down Royal | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Downpatrick | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Perth | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-20 | Sligo | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength87%
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/11/2024 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 07/06/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 53% | +0.26 |
| 03/07/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 07/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 20/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 87% | -0.08 |
| 10/10/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 20/01/2026 | 14th | 150/1 | 0% | 32% | +0.32 |
| 17/03/2026 | 8th | 200/1 | 0% | 61% | +0.61 |
| 12/04/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |