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5

Georginas Jet

5yo Mare · 11-1 · OR 87

Downpatrick · MB McGrady And Co Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 1f 165y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

99%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Off the mark in handicap over this C&D in June and shaped as if still in good form when seventh of 16 at Sligo (21f) a month ago, doing too much too soon back up in trip. Can make a bold bid returned to shorter at this track.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: BHA78
Recent avg: C8.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA82 @ Killarney 23/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 82 · 2m4f50y Goo 146 · below its mark23/08/2025 · OR 82 par23/0882OR 82BHA84 @ Ballinrobe 25/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 84 · 2m6f61y Goo 146 · below its mark25/08/2025 · OR 84 parBHA85 @ Kilbeggan 05/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 85 · 3m200y Goo 148 · below its mark05/09/2025 · OR 85 par5/0985OR 85BHA83 @ Limerick 28/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 83 · 2m3f200y Sft 152 · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 83 parBHA80 @ Downpatrick 14/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 80 · 2m1f165y Gd 148 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 80 par14/0680OR 80BHA88 @ Bellewstown 04/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 88 · 2m4f110y Gd 156 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 88 parBHA88 @ Kilbeggan 10/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 88 · 2m2f160y Goo 159 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 88 par10/0788OR 88BHA87 @ Sligo 06/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 87 · 2m1f193y Gd 156 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 87 parBHA88 @ Sligo 19/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 88 · 2m4f148y Gd 158 · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 88 par19/0888OR 88projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19SligoBHA887th7th0
2026-08-06SligoBHA873rd3rd0
2026-07-10KilbegganBHA889th9th0
2026-07-04BellewstownBHA884th4th0
2026-06-14DownpatrickBHA801st1st0
2026-05-28LimerickBHA8310th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0828/0510/0719/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength89%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/20253rd11/142%85%+0.43
25/08/20252nd3/184%90%+0.06
05/09/20258th7/163%53%-0.10
28/05/202610th10/147%36%-0.12
14/06/20261st20/10%100%+1.00
04/07/20264th4/179%79%-0.00
10/07/20269th3/184%47%-0.38
06/08/20263rd11/142%87%+0.45
19/08/20267th11/271%60%-0.11