12

Invincible Oscar

5yo Mare · 10-7 · OR 79

Downpatrick · MB McGrady And Co Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 1f 165y

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Didn't offer much last season, but making second handicap start after 9 months off she showed more when sixth of 13 at Sligo in August, making a promising move into contention. Task is now to build on latest effort.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 11.6 /10 (raw 11.6)

Highest class: BHA79
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Galway 02/08/2025 · Pos 17th of 19 · OR - · 2m175y Gd 1562/08C8C8 @ Wexford 29/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 2m190y Goo 14629/08C8C8 @ Naas 09/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 2m2f200y Sft 1599/11C8BHA83 @ Clonmel 02/12/2025 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 83 · 2m110y Hvy 151 · below its mark02/12/2025 · OR 83 par2/1283OR 83BHA79 @ Sligo 19/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 79 · 2m1f161y Gd 148 · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 79 par19/0879OR 79projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19SligoBHA796th6th0
2025-12-02ClonmelBHA8315th15th0
2025-11-09Naas?8th8th0
2025-09-29Roscommon?0
2025-08-29Wexford?12th12th0
2025-08-02Galway?17th17th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0829/089/112/1219/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength98%

Delivery trend +9.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/08/202517th125/10%11%+0.11
29/08/202512th125/10%8%+0.08
09/11/20258th300/10%30%+0.30
02/12/202515th66/10%7%+0.07
19/08/20266th66/10%58%+0.58