12

Invincible Oscar
5yo Mare · 10-7 · OR 79
Downpatrick · MB McGrady And Co Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 1f 165y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.6 /10 (raw 11.6)
Highest class: BHA79
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Sligo | BHA79 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-02 | Clonmel | BHA83 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Naas | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Roscommon | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-29 | Wexford | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Galway | ? | 17th | 17th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength98%
Delivery trend +9.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 17th | 125/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 29/08/2025 | 12th | 125/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 09/11/2025 | 8th | 300/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 02/12/2025 | 15th | 66/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |