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8

Polly Poppins

6yo Mare · 10-12 · OR 84

Downpatrick · MB McGrady And Co Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 1f 165y

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden but went close in handicap hurdle at Tramore last summer. Third in handicap at the same venue on chasing debut, though has gone the wrong way in 4 starts over fences this season. Needs to get back on track reverted to hurdling.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA91 @ Wexford 08/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 91 · 2m180y Goo 159 · below its mark08/08/2025 · OR 91 par8/0891OR 91BHA89 @ Tramore 15/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 89 · 2m80y Gd 145 · below its mark15/08/2025 · OR 89 parBHA91 @ Listowel 21/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 18 · OR 91 · 2m2f Yie 147 · below its mark21/09/2025 · OR 91 par21/0991OR 91C8 @ Clonmel 02/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 91 · 2m4f35y Yie 162 · below its mark02/10/2025 · OR 91 parBHA91 @ Tramore 09/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 91 · 1m7f110y Yie 148 · below its mark09/10/2025 · OR 91 par9/1091OR 91BHA90 @ Tramore 29/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 90 · 1m7f110y Goo 140 · below its mark29/05/2026 · OR 90 parBHA89 @ Wexford 30/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 89 · 2m Goo 157 · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 89 par30/0689OR 89BHA86 @ Wexford 22/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 86 · 1m7f110y Gd 154 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 86 parBHA84 @ Tramore 16/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 84 · 1m7f140y Gd 152 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 84 par16/0884OR 84projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16TramoreBHA846th6th0
2026-07-22WexfordBHA867th7th0
2026-06-30WexfordBHA898th8th0
2026-05-29TramoreBHA905th5th0
2025-10-09TramoreBHA913rd3rd0
2025-10-02Clonmel?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/082/1030/0616/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength16%

Delivery trend -7.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20255th22/10%69%+0.69
15/08/20252nd8/158%89%+0.31
21/09/20256th6/168%71%+0.02
02/10/20259th17/255%47%-0.09
09/10/20253rd6/168%67%-0.02
29/05/20265th6/168%60%-0.08
30/06/20268th8/158%46%-0.12
22/07/20267th16/116%50%+0.34
16/08/20266th11/271%29%-0.42