1
Brother Walfrid
5yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 120
Downpatrick · Kildress Plumbing Suppliers Rated Novice Hurdle · 2m 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Killarney | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Galway | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Punchestown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Ballinrobe | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Fairyhouse | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
Delivery trend -8.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 96% | +0.41 |
| 26/05/2026 | 4th | 1/1 | 95% | 63% | -0.32 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |