9
Harpy Eagle
5yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 107
Downpatrick · Kildress Plumbing Suppliers Rated Novice Hurdle · 2m 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.4
Today:
Class gap: -1.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Sligo | BHA105 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-08-08 | Wexford | BHA100 | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-07-23 | Wexford | BHA102 | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-07-02 | Limerick | BHA103 | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-03-02 | Leopardstown | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Punchestown | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 47% | +0.10 |
| 07/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 09/01/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 04/02/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 02/03/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 35% | -0.12 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 62% | +0.14 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.06 |