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Lady Lena

6yo Mare · 11-4

Downpatrick · Kildress Plumbing Suppliers Rated Novice Hurdle · 2m 5f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

92%

Place Prob

66%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Placed on both outings in bumpers before making a successful hurdling debut when landing a maiden at Tramore in August, beating Market Ready by 2¼ lengths. The form has been franked by the third since and she's clearly open to improvement now tackling a novice.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Listowel 21/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 2m Yie 16121/09C?C0 @ Wexford 26/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 2m Yie 16526/10C?C8 @ Tramore 16/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 2m5f80y Goo 15116/08C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Tramore?1st2nd−1
2025-10-26Wexford?2nd2nd0
2025-09-21Listowel?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0926/1016/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength94%

Delivery trend +7.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20253rd9/488%78%-0.10
26/10/20252nd1/398%86%-0.13
16/08/20261st5/696%100%+0.04