3
Mr Master Mac
5yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 120
Downpatrick · Kildress Plumbing Suppliers Rated Novice Hurdle · 2m 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.4
Today:
Class gap: -1.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Tramore | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Galway | BHA117 | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-06-14 | Downpatrick | BHA117 | 7th | 12th | −4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Downpatrick | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tramore | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-08-20 | Sligo | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
Delivery trend -7.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 20/08/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 14/06/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 02/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 94% | +0.41 |
| 13/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |