6
Cherry Red
8yo Mare · 11-5
Downpatrick · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase · 2m 1f 165y
#11
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Ballinrobe | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | BHA97 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2023-02-08 | Fairyhouse | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2022-12-21 | Fairyhouse | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2022-12-03 | Fairyhouse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2022 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/10/2022 | 11th | 250/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 19/11/2022 | 10th | 200/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 03/12/2022 | 6th | 150/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 21/12/2022 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/02/2023 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 09/06/2026 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 12/07/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 11/09/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |