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Doctor Confusion
5yo Gelding · 11-12
Downpatrick · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase · 2m 1f 165y
#8
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Tramore | BHA95 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Ballinrobe | BHA97 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-08-06 | Wexford | BHA102 | 0 | ||
| 2025-05-14 | Tipperary | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-12-08 | Cork | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-11-17 | Navan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength96%
Delivery trend +11.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/11/2024 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 08/12/2024 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 14/05/2025 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 64% | -0.27 |
| 21/07/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 77% | +0.61 |