1

Doctor Confusion

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Downpatrick · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase · 2m 1f 165y

#8

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Low-mileage 5-y-o who ran best race over hurdles when 10¾ lengths fourth of 14 to Ina Mina in handicap at Tramore in August. Probably best watched on chasing debut unless market states otherwise.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 17/11/2024 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 2m Yie 15417/11C8C8 @ Cork 08/12/2024 · Pos 8th of 20 · OR - · 1m7f145y Sft 1548/12C8C8 @ Tipperary 14/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 2m190y Goo 15314/05C8BHA97 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 97 · 2m1f89y Gd 160 · below its mark21/07/2026 · OR 97 par21/0797OR 97BHA95 @ Tramore 16/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 95 · 2m140y Goo 165 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 95 par16/0895OR 95projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16TramoreBHA954th4th0
2026-07-21BallinrobeBHA978th8th0
2025-08-06WexfordBHA1020
2025-05-14Tipperary?6th6th0
2024-12-08Cork?8th8th0
2024-11-17Navan?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/118/1214/0521/0716/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength96%

Delivery trend +11.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/11/20246th4/179%50%-0.29
08/12/20248th12/137%63%+0.26
14/05/20256th7/491%64%-0.27
21/07/20268th9/153%13%-0.40
16/08/20264th16/116%77%+0.61