7
Feet On The Ground
8yo Mare · 11-5 · OR 86
Downpatrick · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase · 2m 1f 165y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Worcester | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Worcester | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Ffos Las | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-24 | Southwell | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Chepstow | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength41%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 31/10/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 15/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/5 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 02/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 21/02/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 18% | -0.42 |
| 24/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 07/07/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |