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King Gris

6yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 68

Downpatrick · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase · 2m 1f 165y

#9

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Managed to win a couple of handicap hurdles around 2½m at Ayr and Hexham last season, but could only match that form sent chasing when mid-field in a maiden at this track last time and is probably one for handicaps later on. Cheekpieces replace blinkers worn on his 3 previous starts.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength17%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Bangor-on-Dee 24/04/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 2m3f123y Goo 15924/0444 @ Aintree 16/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 2m209y Gd 1564 @ Cartmel 28/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 2m1f46y Goo 15628/0545 @ Ayr 01/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 68 · 2m3f110y Hvy 142 · beat its mark01/12/2025 · OR 68 par4 @ Hexham 10/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR 68 · 2m4f28y Hvy 142 · beat its mark10/12/2025 · OR 68 par10/124OR 68C8 @ Down Royal 12/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 94 · 2m6f Goo 150 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 94 parBHA93 @ Downpatrick 08/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 93 · 2m5f180y Goo 161 · below its mark08/05/2026 · OR 93 par8/0593OR 93BHA68 @ Downpatrick 22/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 68 · 2m3f100y Goo 166 · below its mark22/05/2026 · OR 68 parC0 @ Curragh 29/08/2026 · Pos 17th of 19 · OR - · 1m4f Yie 17429/08C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Curragh?17th17th0
2026-05-22DownpatrickBHA687th7th0
2026-05-08DownpatrickBHA935th5th0
2026-04-12Down Royal?5th5th0
2025-12-10Hexham41st1st0
2025-12-01Ayr51st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/041/128/0529/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength41%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/04/20258th25/10%13%+0.13
16/05/20255th150/10%20%+0.20
28/05/20259th250/10%11%+0.11
01/12/20251st4/1198%100%+0.02
10/12/20251st4/1198%100%+0.02
12/04/20265th7/282%56%-0.26
08/05/20265th12/137%71%+0.35
22/05/20267th9/153%54%+0.01
29/08/202617th125/10%11%+0.11