12
Pillartou
4yo Gelding · 11-2
Downpatrick · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase · 2m 1f 165y
#12
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Bellewstown | BHA88 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cork | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Killarney | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +14.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2026 | 10th | 125/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 10/07/2026 | 10th | 150/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 200/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |