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9

Sea Of Doubt

6yo Mare · 11-5 · OR 93

Downpatrick · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase · 2m 1f 165y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

57%

Place Prob

49%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shed maiden tag in mares handicap hurdle at Downpatrick (2¼m) in May and placed 3 times since (including over fences). Creditable 8¼ lengths fourth of 14 to Warmer Days Ahead at Kilbeggan last time. One to consider back in maiden company over fences.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA94 @ Downpatrick 19/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 94 · 2m1f165y Yie 159 · below its mark19/09/2025 · OR 94 par19/0994OR 94BHA93 @ Clonmel 02/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 93 · 2m2f141y Goo 166 · below its mark02/10/2025 · OR 93 parBHA92 @ Downpatrick 08/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 92 · 2m1f165y Goo 148 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 92 par8/0592OR 92BHA99 @ Downpatrick 22/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 99 · 2m2f185y Goo 155 · below its mark22/05/2026 · OR 99 parC8 @ Downpatrick 14/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 98 · 2m1f165y Gd 156 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 98 par14/06C8OR 98BHA92 @ Wexford 30/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 92 · 2m Goo 160 · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 92 parBHA100 @ Downpatrick 14/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 100 · 2m1f165y Gd 168 · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 100 par14/07100OR 100BHA101 @ Tramore 14/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 101 · 2m80y Gd 162 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 101 parBHA101 @ Kilbeggan 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 101 · 2m3f Goo 157 · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 101 par3/09101OR 101projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03KilbegganBHA1014th4th0
2026-08-14TramoreBHA1016th6th0
2026-07-28GalwayBHA930
2026-07-14DownpatrickBHA1002nd2nd0
2026-06-30WexfordBHA923rd3rd0
2026-06-14Downpatrick?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0922/0514/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength81%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/09/20254th16/116%70%+0.54
02/10/20255th7/163%64%+0.00
08/05/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
22/05/20266th7/282%44%-0.37
14/06/20262nd9/276%89%+0.13
30/06/20263rd5/174%85%+0.11
14/07/20262nd4/179%93%+0.14
14/08/20266th4/179%38%-0.41
03/09/20264th12/137%77%+0.40