IvyArcIvyArc
3

Anodandawink

5yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 109

Downpatrick · Vianstown Handicap Chase · 2m 7f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/4

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

92%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden over hurdles but encouraging second in maiden over this C&D on chasing debut, before making all in 15-runner handicap at Wexford in July. Comfortably followed up in 4-runner race at Kilbeggan 6 weeks ago and he holds strong claims in his hat-trick bid.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Punchestown 22/11/2025 · Pos 14th of 24 · OR - · 2m3f87y Sft 16122/11C8C8 @ Naas 15/12/2025 · Pos 14th of 20 · OR - · 2m3f Sft 161C8 @ Naas 09/01/2026 · Pos 14th of 25 · OR - · 2m Yie 1669/01C8BHA94 @ Clonmel 26/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR 94 · 2m2f188y Sft 162 · below its mark26/03/2026 · OR 94 parBHA92 @ Kilbeggan 24/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 92 · 3m154y Goo 160 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 92 par24/0492OR 92BHA94 @ Kilbeggan 31/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 94 · 2m3f20y Goo 162 · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 94 parBHA93 @ Downpatrick 13/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 93 · 2m7f150y Gd 166 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 93 par13/0693OR 93BHA93 @ Wexford 22/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 93 · 3m155y Gd 161 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 93 parBHA103 @ Kilbeggan 08/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 103 · 3m1f50y Goo 162 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 103 par8/08103OR 103projClass-projected finish: 1st of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-08KilbegganBHA1031st1st0
2026-07-22WexfordBHA931st1st0
2026-06-13DownpatrickBHA932nd2nd0
2026-05-31KilbegganBHA949th9th0
2026-04-24KilbegganBHA923rd3rd0
2026-03-26ClonmelBHA9411th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/1126/0313/068/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength85%

Delivery trend -5.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/11/202514th80/10%43%+0.43
15/12/202514th125/10%32%+0.32
09/01/202614th150/10%46%+0.46
26/03/202611th9/153%33%-0.19
24/04/20263rd14/126%87%+0.60
31/05/20269th10/382%38%-0.44
13/06/20262nd5/174%80%+0.06
22/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
08/08/20261st6/594%100%+0.06