6
Driveonwill
6yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 107
Downpatrick · Vianstown Handicap Chase · 2m 7f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Downpatrick | BHA100 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | BHA100 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Downpatrick | BHA98 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-22 | Downpatrick | BHA87 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Downpatrick | BHA87 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-05 | Thurles | BHA88 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 07/06/2025 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 61% | -0.23 |
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | -0.00 |
| 15/01/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 18/02/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 05/03/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 79% | +0.05 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 28/07/2026 | 15th | 17/2 | 55% | 26% | -0.29 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |