13
Following Orders
6yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 92
Downpatrick · Vianstown Handicap Chase · 2m 7f 110y
#15
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Kilbeggan | BHA100 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Wexford | BHA93 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-17 | Killarney | BHA95 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-15 | Kilbeggan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Kilbeggan | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Bellewstown | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 186% of fieldRange 7-18 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength16%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 17th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2025 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 87% | -0.07 |
| 24/04/2025 | 6th | 6/4 | 92% | 62% | -0.31 |
| 04/07/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 77% | +0.61 |
| 05/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 25/08/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 19/09/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 15/05/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 15/06/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 03/09/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |