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Jackson Lamb

7yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 112

Downpatrick · Vianstown Handicap Chase · 2m 7f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual winner over hurdles last year and has also shown fair form in maiden chases, runner-up in 6-runner event at Wexford (19f) last month. Below-par effort in claiming hurdle at Bellewstown 23 days ago, but he could fare better now handicapping over fences with hood refitted.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Bellewstown 05/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 2m1f40y Gd 1685/07C?C8 @ Downpatrick 14/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 2m5f185y Goo 166C8 @ Bellewstown 27/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m4f110y Gd 16227/08C84 @ Kelso 17/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 115 · 2m4f189y Gd 161 · beat its mark17/09/2025 · OR 115 par1 @ Cheltenham 24/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 115 · 2m87y GS 156 · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 115 par24/101OR 115C0 @ Wexford 03/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 2m3f110y Gd 166C0 @ Wexford 22/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 2m3f Gd 16622/07C?BHA112 @ Wexford 08/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 112 · 2m3f20y Goo 166 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 112 parC8 @ Bellewstown 26/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 118 · 2m4f110y Goo 168 · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 118 par26/08C8OR 118projClass-projected finish: 8th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Bellewstown?5th5th0
2026-08-08WexfordBHA1122nd2nd0
2026-07-22Wexford?5th5th0
2026-07-03Wexford?7th7th0
2026-05-31Kilbeggan?0
2025-10-24Cheltenham110th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0717/0922/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1894% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength94%

Delivery trend +7.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/20254th11/486%77%-0.09
14/07/20253rd2/189%67%-0.23
27/08/20251st1/195%100%+0.05
17/09/20251st8/1597%100%+0.03
24/10/202510th33/10%18%+0.18
03/07/20267th40/10%40%+0.40
22/07/20265th25/10%50%+0.50
08/08/20262nd28/10%80%+0.80
26/08/20265th6/168%67%-0.02