5
Littlebiggie
9yo Mare · 11-10 · OR 108
Downpatrick · Vianstown Handicap Chase · 2m 7f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C9.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Kilbeggan | BHA110 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Sligo | BHA112 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Kilbeggan | BHA112 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Thurles | BHA114 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-27 | Limerick | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Clonmel | BHA114 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1829% of fieldRange 16-18 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 13th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 17/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 12/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 29/09/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 23/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 27/12/2025 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 06/08/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 04/09/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |